Shahidul Islam
Welcome! I am a Ph.D. candidate (A.B.D.) in Economics in the Mitch Daniels School of Business at Purdue University. I am expected graduate in March 2026. I am on the 2025–26 job market- please reach out to me for interviews.
My research interests are labor and public economics with focus in economics of education and health economics. I study how institutional policies determine the academic outcomes of students in higher education.

'Isolated' College Students' Academic Outcomes [JMP]
This paper examines the experiences of college students who are the sole representatives of their race, ethnicity, or nationality in a classroom setting, a situation referred to as being "alone." Assuming that the US Supreme Court ban on Affirmative Action in college admission will reduce representations of underrepresented minority students in selective college campuses, I explore whether being the only student of a particular background in a course section has a causal effect on the academic outcomes of undergraduate students. To answer this, I exploit the random course and section assignment based on freshman students' course preferences at a large public college in the USA. I use actual course assignment data to define an instrument for the treatment of being alone. Conditional student's course preferences, the instrument (i.e., being assigned alone) is as good as random. The findings show that being the only student in a class by race or ethnicity impacts students' course grades negatively. Being alone in a class by students' racial, ethnic, or national attributes and academic attributes impacts course grades negatively. Being alone in a course by race or ethnicity and college reduces the course grade by 0.054 points for domestic students. Being alone by race or ethnicity and college in the same instructor-taught sections of the course reduces the course grade by 0.076 points for domestic students and 0.30 points for international students. The empirical mechanism reveals that the negative alone effects are driven by positive peer effects. Non-linearity in peer effects and comparison of alone effect with the average peer effect implies that a part of the alone effect can be explained as the loneliness effect.
Decomposition of Grade Inflation in US Higher Education with Kevin Mumford
We study the evolution of grade inflation in U.S. higher education from 1990 to 2019 using multi-institution, course-level administrative records. Our empirical strategy decomposes the year-to-year increase in average grades into components associated with (i) improvements in student academic preparation, (ii) observed demographic composition, (iii) institution and discipline fixed effects, (iv) course-level characteristics, and (v) instructor-specific factors. This decomposition allows us to distinguish which portions of the observed rise in grades represent true “inflation” versus changes that reflect underlying shifts in student quality or course supply and selection. Consistent with the definition of inflation, variation attributable to stronger incoming students, changes in course offerings, and students’ sorting into different types of courses should not be interpreted as grade inflation. In contrast, the portion linked to instructor-driven differences is typically considered inflationary in prior literature. However, our results show that instructor ranks account for only about one-quarter of the observed increase in grades over this period—substantially smaller than implied by conventional narratives. The findings refine our understanding of the drivers of grade inflation and highlight the importance of separating structural changes in higher education from true inflationary grading practices.
Work in progress
College Students' Performance in (potentially) Stereotypical Environment
Chronic Diseases and Labor Force Attachment: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study with Emran Hasan
Effect of Feminizing Primary Education Teacher Workforce on Student Outcomes